Stock Market Today: Dow Plummets 486 Points, Nears Bear Market

The stock market took another step lower Friday, as Reserves yields nonstop to rise to levels not seen in over a decade. 

Today’s drop brought the Dow below the vital 30,000 mark and this close to bear-market territory, which is defined as a 20% drop from the most recent high (or its Jan. 3 peak at 36,585.06, in this case). The blue-chip index is the only one of its major market peers to have not crossed that threshold (the Nasdaq, dredge up, entered a bear market on March 7, and the S&P 500 on June 13).

“Fiscal markets are now fully absorbing the Fed’s harsh message that there will be no retreat from the inflation fight,” says Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets. “The steep back-up in global rates further bludgeoned stocks, store prices, and commodity currencies this week, given mounting depression odds,” he added.

While yields on regime bonds came off their earlier highs, they are still floating at levels not seen in over 10 years (2011 for the 10-year note and 2007 for the two-year). Particularly, the 10-year Reserves yield hit a session peak of 3.829% before settling at 3.695%, while the 2-year Reserves yield climbed as high as 4.27% before ending at 4.201%. 

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As for the equities market, the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average closed down 1.6% at 29,590 – ending less than 1% above the 29,278.05 it needs to fall below in order to enter a new bear market. The S&P 500 Index refined 1.7% lower at 3,693 and the Nasdaq Composite spiraled 1.8% to 10,867. The S&P and Nasdaq refined at their lowest levels since June, while the Dow notched a new year-to-date low.

stock price chart 092322

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 plummeted 2.5% to 1,679.
  • U.S. crude futures spiraled 5.7% to $78.74 per barrel, its lowest close since Jan. 10.
  • Gold futures shed 1.5% to end at $1,655.60 per ounce, their lowest agreement since April 2020.
  • Bitcoin slumped 2.6% to $18,823.30. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) 
  • Costco Indiscriminate (COST) got knocked down 4.3% after return. In its fiscal fourth quarter, the indiscriminate seller reported return of $4.20 per share on $72.1 billion in revenue, more than analysts were in the family way. Same-store sales were up 13.7% year-over-year, matching the consensus assess. “COST is seeing some signs of inflation relief as steel prices have eased and container shortages and port delays have stuck-up,” says BofA Securities analyst Robert Ohmes (Buy). “In addendum, the stronger U.S. dollar should help allay some of the import pricing pressures. But, there is probable to be nonstop ‘gumminess’ in recent CPG company price increases (still rumor has it that supported by the rising wage background). In addendum, there are no point examples of easing inflation in COST’s Food & Assortment category.”
  • FedEx (FDX) gave back 3.4% after the shipping giant announced a round of rate hikes for its Express, Ground and Home Manner of language air force, and said it is targeting fiscal 2023 cost savings of $2.2 billion to $2.27 billion. This comes on the heels of FedEx’s return warning last week, which sent shares reducing. “FDX is now (slowly) parking freight planes and adornment staff and conveniences, which should improve in commission margin from August station dismal 5.3% (vs. 6.8% year-over-year),” says CFRA Investigate analyst Colin Scarola (Hold). “But with highly precarious macroeconomic circumstances and new FDX management seeming slow to react, we urge a neutral stance on shares despite historically low appraisal.”

Are These the Best Stocks to Buy Now?

Is now the time to buy stocks? It’s a inquiry that has divided Wall Street – and one that can only be answered with time. But no matter what, “noteworthy declines are a regular and recurring feature of the stock market,” says Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Fiscal Network. “In that context, this one is no uncommon. And since it is no uncommon, then like every other decline, we can practically expect the markets to bounce back at some point.” 

And while a bear market gives investors plenty of reasons to worry and makes small-term pain, it also “gives a chance to buy stocks on sale, potentially leading to better future returns when it recovers,” McMillan adds. “And, as always, a bear market gives investors a chance to take a excellent hard look at their portfolios and find out if they are really comfortable with the risk they are taking. The pain is real, but there are some clear side effects.”

Many investors will choose to go to cash amid this explosive nature. But for those looking to find huge bargains in the stock market, there are surely plenty of names trading much lower than where they started the year. But finding the best stocks to buy when the market is selling off can be demoralizing, so we turned to the pros to find a list of their top high-conviction picks – each probable to rally at least 20% in the next 12 months or so. Check them out.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Fall as Global Banks Follow in Fed’s Footsteps

Wednesday’s selling carried into Thursday as investors nonstop to take a risk-off deal with to markets later the Federal Reserve’s latest policy periodical.

The central bank issued its third jumbo-sized rate boost days gone by and set expectations that it will take up again to hike rates over its next few meetings. But, the Fed is not alone in its aggressive stance. Several global central banks have augmented their target rates this week in an ongoing effort to tame inflation, counting the Bank of England and Switzerland’s Inhabitant Bank, which earlier today issued 50 basis point and 75 basis point rate hikes, correspondingly. (A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.)

“Global equities are struggling as the world anticipates surging rates will trigger a much sooner and maybe severe global depression,” says Edward Moya, senior market strategist at currency data source OANDA. “Most of these rate hikes around the world are not done yet which means the race to restrictive territory won’t be over until closer to the end of the year.”

The result here at home was a selloff in bond prices, which sent yields on regime notes spiking. The 10-year Reserves yield surged 19.2 basis points to 3.704% – its highest level since early 2011 – while the 2-year Reserves yield spiked 12.1 basis points to 4.116%, its loftiest perch since late 2007.

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As for stocks, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped 1.4% to 11,066, while the S&P 500 Index (-0.8% to 3,757) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (-0.4% at 30,076) suffered more modest losses.

Price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Thursday, September 22

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 spiraled 2.2% to 1,722.
  • U.S. crude futures rose 0.7% to end at $83.49 per barrel.
  • Gold futures added 0.3% to end at $1,681.10 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin added 1.7% to $19,322.51. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) 
  • Eli Lilly (LLY) jumped 4.9% after UBS Global Investigate analyst Colin Bristow upgraded the healthcare stock to Buy from Neutral. The analyst says later clear data for the company’s SURMOUNT-1 obesity drug and Food and Drug Handing out (FDA) praise for its diabetes behavior, T2DM, “we now view LLY as being the most arresting name in our large-cap coverage, with the utmost the makings upside to numbers.”
  • KB Home (KBH) fell 5.1% after just missing analysts’ consensus top-line assess for its fiscal third quarter. The homebuilder reported return of $2.86 per share, more than probable, but revenue of $1.84 billion fell small. Sector peer Lennar (LEN) also unveiled its weekly results, exposure higher-than-probable fiscal Q3 return of $5.03 per share on inline revenue of $8.9 billion. LEN stock rose 2.0% on the day.

Choppy Trading Continues, Thought-out Guilty ETFs

This is a challenging time for investors, and it’s not likely to get any simpler in the near term. “The markets are likely to remain very choppy and range-bound for the foreseeable future in our view because they now have to set up the timing and the makings depth of depression ahead plus ongoing inflationary pressures overhead,” says Dan Wantrobski, technological strategist and normal boss of investigate at Janney. He adds that shareholder sentiment is likely to erode even further as the midterm elections near, and he anticipates a choppy path for stocks in the weeks ahead. 

As we’ve mentioned several times over the past few months, the best course of action for investors, then, is to take a more guilty deal with with their portfolios. Low-explosive nature strategies, quality bonus stocks and yield-forthcoming real estate investment trusts (REITs) are just a few of the ways investors can cope with non-amenable equity markets. Another tack is to take a broader deal with with guilty chat-traded funds (ETFs). The 10 funds featured here cover a number of strategies, but all are calculated to protect portfolios against a tumultuous investing background.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Go on Wild Ride as Fed Targets More Rate Hikes

Stocks spent most of Wednesday in clear territory, but went on a roller-coaster ride after the Federal Reserve, as probable, issued its third honest 75 basis point rate hike.

The Fed’s rate hike sparked plenty of chatter among Wall Street’s experts, with the main focus on what the central bank plans to do next. Today’s go brought the Fed’s target federal funds rate to between 3.0% and 3.25%, with projections from the 19 voting members of the Federal Open Market Group (FOMC) targeting a range of 4.25% and 4.5% by year’s end – a half-percentage point higher than where it was in June. Doing the math, that means rates need to rise another 1.25% over the central bank’s left over two meetings (in November and December).

“Today we heard and saw more of the same, and the market shouldn’t be too bowled over given the Fed and its officials telegraphed that more huge hikes were in the cards for the foreseeable future,” says Mike Loewengart, head of model choice construction at Morgan Stanley. “The market seems to have hoped beyond hope that they would hear some allusion to an end to rate hikes on the horizon, but that’s surely not what we got today.”

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And that, in turn, sent the major market indexes moving quickly from green to red in the critical upshot of the Fed’s periodical. But, the wild ride wasn’t over, with stocks for the interim active back before eventually ending lower. At the close, the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average was down 1.7% at 30,183, the S&P 500 Index was off 1.7% at 3,789, and the Nasdaq Composite had shed 1.8% to 11,220.

Price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday, September 21

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 gave back 1.4% to 1,762.
  • U.S. crude futures fell 1.2% to end at $82.94 per barrel.
  • Gold futures edged up 0.3% to $1,675.70 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin barely budged, last seen at $19,002.41. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) 
  • Stitch Fix (SFIX) was off nearly 7% at its session low after the online clothing seller reported return, but eventually swung to a 2.8% gain. In its fiscal fourth quarter, SFIX recorded a 16% year-over-year decline in revenue, a 9% drop in active clients and an in commission loss of $99 million, much wider than the $20.7 million loss incurred in the year-ago period. “While the company remains focused on the path back to profitability (sinking headcount, rationalizing trace, humanizing efficiencies, etc), we remain worried about the high supply levels which could take up again to impact SFIX’s flexibility, likely through the current fiscal year,” says UBS Global Investigate analyst Kunal Madhukar (Neutral). “Thus, while expectations are much lower now and the shares are trading at all-time lows, we reckon the nonstop uncertainty could keep investors on the sidelines until visibility improves.”
  • General Mills (GIS) was another post-return winner, jumping 5.7% after its results. In its first quarter, the maker of Bisquick reported return of $1.11 per share on $4.7 billion in revenue, more than analysts were in the family way. The company also raised its full-year forecast amid expectations strong sales growth will offset macro-fiscal headwinds. “While the beat was largely anticipated by investors we speak with, few probable the company to raise guidance this early in the year,” says Goldman Sachs analyst Jason English. Still, the analyst maintained a Sell rating on GIS.

Use Bonus Stocks as Defense

With the Fed dodgy to cut rates soon, investors should take up again to be guilty with their portfolios. “Recent data have incorrigible the essential of the Fed’s tough stance,” says Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares investment approach. The Fed has “vigorously asserted its aim” on moving policy stance to a restrictive level to tame inflation, and the thought that the central bank “will raise rates and at once cut again in mid-2023 should now be place back into storage alongside the beach chairs,” she adds. As such, Chaudhuri believes investors should “spot defensively within equities given higher chances of an fiscal brake.” 

In addendum to sectors like healthcare or utilities that are traditionally thorough “safer” than others, we often tout the refund of counting bonus-paying stocks in your choice to protect against market uncertainty. But, not all bonus stocks are made equal. Income investors wanting to find high-quality names should start with the Bonus Nobles, companies that have grown their shareholder payouts for at least 25 honest years. There are also these high-paying bonus stocks bluster yields of 5% or more, well above the S&P 500’s current 1.7% yield. The names featured here have solid nitty-gritty, generous yields and backing from the analyst union. Check them out.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Slide With Fed on Deck

Anxiety got the better of Wall Street on Tuesday, with the stock market reducing ahead of tomorrow’s policy periodical from the Federal Reserve. 

Many of Wall Street’s top minds are weighing in on how huge the Fed rate hike will be. Among them is Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Fiscal Network, who, like nearly all, believes the central bank will hike rates by 75 basis points. A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point.

“Where things get appealing is in the follow-up observations, where the market tries to parse what this means for the Fed’s policy decisions through the rest of the year,” McMillan says, referring to the press talks Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold at once after the periodical. “Expectations are very hawkish, and the Fed can come out just as probable and still be more dovish than probable. That likely limits the market downside from this meeting and just may provide some upside going forward.”

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But today, investors envisioned higher rates ahead, which weighed on bond prices – and sent the 10-year Reserves yield up 7.2 basis points to 3.561%, its highest perch since 2011.

Broad selling was seen in the equities market too, with all 11 sectors dying in the red. As for the major indexes, the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average plunged 1.0% to 30,706, the S&P 500 Index gave back 1.1% to 3,855, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.0% to 11,425.

Price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Tuesday, September 20

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 surrendered 1.4% to 1,787.
  • U.S. crude futures fell 1.5% to end at $84.45 per barrel.
  • Gold futures shed 0.4% to settle at $1,671.10 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin gave back 2.9% to $19,006.96. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) 
  • PayPal Holding (PYPL) tumbled 3.6% after Susquehanna Fiscal Group analyst James Friedman downgraded the fintech stock to Neutral from Clear, the equivalents of Hold and Buy, correspondingly. “Braintree is quickly gaining share within PYPL’s total payment volume, making halfhearted control from mix,” Friedman writes in a note. PYPL bought the e-buying web payments PC in 2013. “As Braintree is likely to take up again driving PYPL as a whole, its unit economics may drag on PYPL’s consolidated results. Consensus may underestimate the yield and transaction expense difficulty which PYPL may encounter. And margin control from headcount management and the the makings externalization of PYPL’s consumer credit book may not be enough to offset,” the analyst adds.
  • Deutsche Bank analyst Sidney Ho downgraded Western Digital (WDC) to Hold from Buy, sending shares down 3.0%. “We believe WDC’s fiscal first-quarter revenue and EPS are tracking below the low end of guidance, and fiscal second-quarter outlook are also likely to be expressively below current Street estimates,” Ho says. The analyst points to fading demand and falling average selling prices for flash that will likely take up again through the next two quarters. “Consequently, we urge investors go to the sidelines until we have better visibility into when supply demand balance returns,” Ho adds.

What Corporate Warnings Could Mean for Investors

One notable decliner today was Ford Motor (F), which tumbled 12.3% after it became the latest company to warn that broad-market headwinds will weigh on its third-quarter results. The automaker late Monday said it expects Q3 return before appeal and taxes to arrive between $1.4 billion and $1.7 billion, about half of analysts’ consensus assess. This is due to “nonstop supply-chain issues, with 40,000 to 45,000 ‘vehicles on wheels’ left over in supply as they are waiting on parts,” says Michael Reinking, senior market strategist at the New York Stock Chat. “While those sales are pushed out to the fourth quarter, the company also augmented its inflation-related supplier costs.” (Ford now expects costs to run about $1 billion more than what was earlier probable.) 

The strategist notes that while Ford’s periodical doesn’t “paint a similar surroundings” to last week’s FedEx (FDX) return warning, it does call into inquiry how huge of an impact macroeconomic trends like inflation and slowing growth will have on the imminent return season. Here, we take a closer look at what these caution signs from corporate America could mean for investors.

Karee Venema was long F as of this writing.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Resume Slide as Treasury Yields Rise

Thursday marked another day of choppy trading for stocks as investors thorough a round of data that showed the U.S. economy remained hard-wearing even in the face of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hike battle.

Ahead of this morning’s open, data from the Labor Sphere showed weekly jobless claims fell for a fifth honest week, underscoring might in the labor market. Additionally, the Buying Sphere said retail sales rose 0.3% month-over-month in August, beating economists’ expectations for a slight decline in consumer costs. 

“This [retail sales] report is not excellent for the Fed’s goals of slower inflation,” says José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “The Fed want to see patrons slow down their costs and debt growth to slow down inflation. Higher rates provide an incentive to save, not to spend, and that’s part of the reason why tighter fiscal policy brings down demand and inflation.” As such, Torres says the market is not only in the family way a 75 basis-point rate hike at next week’s Fed meeting, but one at the November meeting too. (A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point.)

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By the close, the market had taken a earnest turn lower as the 10-year Reserves yield jumped 3.5 basis points to 3.447%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered the worst of it, slumping 1.4% to 11,552. But, the S&P 500 Index (-1.1% to 3,901) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (-0.6% at 30,961) also finished solidly in the red.

Price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Thursday, September 15

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 shed 0.7% to 1,825.
  • U.S. crude futures fell 3.8% to settle at $85.10 per barrel.
  • Gold futures plummeted 1.9% to $1,677.30 an ounce, their lowest agreement price since April 3, 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
  • Bitcoin slipped 0.8% to $19,800.53. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) Everyplace else, Ethereum spiraled 6.3% to $1,499.28 after the Ethereum Merge. “The merge paves the way for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency to become more energy-well-methodical and to operate on a ‘proof-of-stake’ network,” says Edward Moya, senior market strategist at currency data source OANDA. “Crypto traders are often used to ‘sell the event’ reactions in the cryptoverse and this Merge proved to be another example of just that.”
  • Adobe (ADBE) plunged 16.8% after the Creative Cloud parent said it is buying design software firm Figma in a cash-and-stock deal valued at roughly $20 billion. “This would be by far Adobe’s largest-ever acquisition,” says Scott Kessler, global sector lead for Equipment Media and Telecommunications at Third Bridge. “About four years ago it bought Marketo for around $5 billion. Meanwhile, its closest peer and competitor in some ways, Salesforce.com (CRM), has been far more aggressive with M&A, most just buying Slack last year in a deal valued at nearly $30 billion.” ADBE also reported higher-than-probable fiscal third-quarter return of $3.40 per share on inline revenue of $4.4 billion.
  • Netflix (NFLX) jumped 5.0% after Evercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney upgraded the streaming stock to Go one better than from Inline, the equivalents of Buy and Hold, correspondingly. The analyst believes NFLX’s ad-supported donation and its crack down on password sharing make “catalysts that can drive a notes reacceleration of revenue growth.” Mahaney adds that these catalysts are now not priced into the stock.

Stocks Making the Most of Supply-Chain Woes

Supply-chain disruptions have been front and center for most of the endemic and the likelihood for another disturbance came back to the front spot this week as a the makings railroad strike loomed. While the latest headlines suggest that the strike will be averted as both sides reach a tentative deal, the breakability of the system remains a concern for investors. 

“Supply chains were built for efficiency in the past,” says Tony DeSpirito, chief investment officer at BlackRock’s U.S. Essential Active Equities. “And that meant the lowest cost, where on earth it was.” But COVID “underscored the need for flexibility of supply chains,” he adds. “And that’s what we’re early to see – the trend away from globalization to onshoring or reshoring operations. It’s in effect a shift from efficiency to resiliency.” This shift is making a tough small-term background for investors, DeSpirito adds, but he reminds us that it helps to take a long-term perspective. 

And over the long term, companies should benefit from a go to more dependable processes. With that in mind, we’ve come up with five stocks that stand to win as supply chains falter. Most of the list is made up of manufacturing stocks, but the tech sector makes an advent too.  

Stock Market Today: Stocks Close Higher After Terrible Tuesday

Stocks stabilized Wednesday after Tuesday’s hotter-than-probable inflation data sparked Wall Street’s worst selloff in over two years.

Inflation remained in focus today with the early morning release of the producer price index (PPI) for August. Similar to days gone by’s consumer price index (CPI), the PPI – which events what suppliers are charging for goods and air force – rose at a slower annual clip in August than it did in July. But, on a month-over-month basis, both PPI and core PPI, which excludes energy and food prices, were up from July’s figures.

“There is a deviation in headline and core inflation construction, where headline is cooling and core is heating up,” says Jamie Cox, administration partner at Harris Fiscal Group. “That’s an odd experience and likely influenced by the shift from goods to air force post-endemic. The Fed should proceed with caution and not hit the urgent circumstances brake on rate hikes.”

While days gone by’s selling was broad-based, today’s action was more mixed. In terms of sector routine, real estate (-1.2%) and equipment (-1.2%) were the largest laggards, while energy (+2.8%) outperformed as U.S. crude futures rose 1.3% to settle at $88.48 per barrel.

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As for the major indexes, the Nasdaq Composite finished up 0.7% at 11,719, while the S&P 500 Index (+0.3% at 3,946) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (+0.1% at 31,135) also refined with modest gains.

Price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday, September 14

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 rose 0.4% to 1,838.
  • Gold futures fell 0.5% to end at $1,709.10 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin shed 1.7% to $19,968.03. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Starbucks (SBUX) jumped 5.5% after the coffee chain raised its long-term growth targets. The company is now projecting annual return-per-share growth of 15% to 20% over the next three years, and same-store sales growth of 7% to 9% – up from before guidance of 11% and 4.5% growth, correspondingly, at the median. SBUX also said it plans to build around 2,000 new U.S. stores by 2025, bringing its worldwide total to 45,000 locations, and will start buying back its shares in its next fiscal year. “Starbucks has set a high bar for itself and while we believe it is doable given brand might and new management capabilities, we believe disbelief persists about the challenges of accelerating growth – in fastidious at a time of macro uncertainty,” says BofA Securities analyst Sara Senatore (Buy).
  • Rail stocks like Union Pacific (UNP, -3.7%) and Norfolk Southern (NSC, -2.2%) were lower today as negotiations between freight railroad unions near a deadline that could lead to a the makings strike if all sides do not come to an contract by the end of the week. Stifel Investigate analyst Benjamin Nolan sums things up: “Long tale small, the 12 rail unions and the U.S. Class 1’s and a handful of smaller carriers have been at the negotiation table for the last few years. Both parties have been unable to reach agreements. So, the White House got caught up and made non-binding recommendations that nine unions have agreed to, so far. We are now in the final week of negotiations  before the Railway Labor Act Collective Bargaining Process runs its course, and on Friday, the parties are free to either strike/lock-out labor.” While Nolan thinks a railroad strike is “dodgy,” he expects a “last-minute agreeement or critical congressional intercession.” 

Weather the Market Storms With the Bonus Kings

This week’s inflation updates all but assure another aggressive rate hike from the Federal Reserve at next week’s policy meeting. According to CME Group, the probability that the central bank will lift its target rate by 75 basis points has jumped to 74% from 45% one month ago, while the odds of a 100 basis-point rate hike are now at 26% from zero over that same time frame. A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point.

And the Fed is likely to “keep up its hawkish stance until they see a sustained down trend in inflation,” says Eric Sterner, chief investment officer for fiscal schooling firm Apollon Wealth Management. Risky assets will take up again to struggle, Sterner believes, which means “investors should keep up a guilty and diversified choice to weather this storm.” 

We often urge bonus stocks as one area where investors can seek shelter. And where better to find the cream of the crop of income-growing names than with the Bonus Kings – elite members of the Bonus Nobles who have a minimum of 50 honest years of bonus hikes under their belts. That makes these regular bonus growers a bit more reliable than your typical income investment – mainly in a year full of ups and downs in the market.

Stock Market Today: Dow Sinks 1,276 Points After Alarming CPI Report

Stocks were crushed Tuesday as the latest inflation update showed consumer prices remained stuck-up in August – dashing hopes that price pressures had peaked.

Looking at the numbers, the Labor Sphere this morning said its consumer price index (CPI), which tracks what patrons are paying for goods and air force, was up 8.3% year-over-year in August. While this was down from the annual increases seen in both June (+9.1%) and July (+8.5%), the core CPI, which excludes more precarious energy and food prices, was up 6.3% from the year-ago period – more than the 5.9% jump seen in each of the two prior months. And month-over-month, core CPI accelerated 0.6%, much quicker than July’s 0.3%.

“Like the payroll report a couple of weeks ago, today’s CPI report showed that this year’s trends of persistent inflation and an excessively tight labor market are taking longer to go towards the Fed’s embattled levels than formerly probable,” says Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer of global fixed income. 

Today’s data will give the central bank “fodder to make another historically large rate hike of 75 basis points [at next week’s policy meeting],” Rieder said. “The Fed’s desire to take a trip from raising rates nearly definitively can’t happen until the holiday season, and maybe a bit longer now.”

Dustin Thackeray, chief investment officer at Crewe Advisor, echoes this outlook. “With today’s higher-than-probable CPI data, the Fed’s goal of attempting a soft landing just got more trying,” he says. “In an attempt to keep up the price stability target, the Fed will need to take up again its stance of aggressive rate hikes, balance sheet saving and hawkish speechifying.”

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The searing inflation update triggered a stock market selloff on Wall Street, with the major market indexes growth. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 5.2% to 11,633, while the S&P 500 Index (-4.3% to 3,932) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (-3.9% to 31,104) suffered massive declines of their own. It was the market’s worst day since June 2020.

“Markets will likely take up again to encounter stuck-up explosive nature as this new in rank is digested and as the Fed continues in its attempt to tame higher than target inflation,” Thackeray adds.

price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Tuesday, September 13

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 plunged 3.9% to 1,831.
  • U.S. crude futures slipped 0.5% to $97.31 per barrel.
  • Might in the U.S. dollar sent gold futures down 1.3% to $1,717.40 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin wasn’t immune to the selling, with the cryptocurrency shedding 9.4% to $20,309.23. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Large-cap tech stocks spiraled after this morning’s inflation update sent the 10-year Reserves yield spiking 4.8 basis points to 3.41%. Apple (AAPL, -5.9%), Amazon.com (AMZN, -7.1%), Meta Platforms (META, -9.4%) and Netflix (NFLX, -7.8%) were among the day’s largest decliners.
  • Rent the Runway (RENT) plummeted 38.7% after the online clothing seller reported return. While RENT recorded a narrower-than-probable per-share loss of 53 cents on higher-than-anticipated revenue of $76.5 million, active subscribers were down 8% quarter-over-quarter. The company also said it is slashing 24% of its labor force by the end of the fiscal year. “We thought Q2 could show case solid consumer trial amid a multi-year peak in social events (weddings, parties, travel),” says Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti, who downgraded RENT to Neutral (Hold). “The noteworthy wear in Active Consumer trends in the quarter suggest that RENT is more susceptible to macro difficulty on the aspirational consumer than we probable.”

Use Fixed-Income Plays to Protect Against Inflation

One of the largest concerns that cropped up in today’s inflation report was that 0.6% rise in core CPI, says Gargi Chaudhuri, head of iShares investment approach. The boost was driven primarily by housing costs, she adds, and this sticky inflation point could linger for longer, with rents probable to rise even more as the market for buying houses cools. “Housing and rental prices comprise 42% of core CPI inflation, the largest weighting of the CPI measure, because of their outsized share in most common budgets,” Chaudhuri continues. 

But the strategist says that investors have options to combat indefatigably high inflation, with harvest such as small-duration Reserves Inflation Confined Securities, or TIPS, which are bonds that are indexed to inflation via the CPI. “Investors should also thought-out investing in small-term bonds as a substitution for cash or a driver of income in their portfolios,” she adds. 

Those looking to bulk up the fixed-income section of their portfolios can do so through bond mutual funds and bond chat-traded funds (ETFs). On both fronts, many of our recommendations are calculated to counter the effects of higher prices. And better yet, our bond ETF picks do so at a low cost to investors. Check them out.

Karee Venema was long AAPL and AMZN as of this writing.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Gain Ground After ECB’s Aggressive Rate Hike

Stocks kept investors on edge for most of Thursday, indecisiveness between clear and halfhearted territory right through the session as investors sized up global central bank headlines. 

Kicking things off was an early morning declaration from the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike its key appeal rate by an unique 75 basis points. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point. 

“Stuck between a rock and a hard place, ECB policymakers felt they had small option but to go ultra-huge with the rate rise to try and cut the rope on inflation and spark a fall from its ascent,” says Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. She adds that it couldn’t have come at a worse time. “With energy prices so stuck-up, bringing an end to the price spiral is going to be far from simple, and the ECB is warning that fresh hikes will be on the way.”

Back at home, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this morning doubled down on the hawkish tone he struck in a late-August speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Language during a virtual talks hosted by the Cato Institute, Powell indicated that the Fed is firmly committed to fighting inflation and will be as aggressive as it needs to be in order to do that. “It is very much our view, and my view, that we need to act now basically, fervently, as we have been doing, and we need to keep at it until the job is done,” he said.

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These two events sparked a wild ride for investors, but at the close, the major market indexes were in the green. The Dow Jones Manufacturing Average finished up 0.6% at 31,774, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.7% to 4,006, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.6% to 11,862.

price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Thursday, September 8

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 tacked on 0.7% to 1,844.
  • U.S. crude futures gained nearly 2% to end at $83.54 per barrel.
  • Gold futures fell 0.4% to end at $1,720.20 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin rose 1.8% to $19,355.05. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Snap (SNAP) stock jumped 9.4%, construction on Wednesday’s 6.4% gain, after a report in The Verge fussy a leaked memo from the social media company’s CEO Evan Spiegel. According to the article, the domestic memo to employees fussy SNAP’s plans to grow Snapchat’s user base by 30% to 450 million and boost revenue to $6 billion by the end of 2023. UBS Global Investigate analyst Lloyd Walmsley (Buy) said he is “clear” by the targets. “We admit this could be an domestic stretch goal and the company is in a show-me mode given macro uncertainty,” Walmsley writes in a note to clients. “Nonetheless, we reckon the company has done a excellent job executing, showing daily active user growth of 85% since 2018 to date and growing revenue 3x from 2018 through 2022 estimates. As such, we give management the benefit of the doubt here.”
  • GameStop (GME) rose 7.5% after the video game seller reported return. While GME reported lower year-over-year sales and a wider per-share loss in its second quarter, it unveiled a link with crypto chat FTX. “At a high level, the link will initiate more GameStop customers to FTX’s union and its marketplaces for digital assets,” says Wedbush analyst  Michael Pachter, who has an Underperform (Sell) rating on GME. “The two companies will work collectively on new ecommerce and online marketing initiatives, with GameStop admittance to carry FTX gift cards in select stores as its ideal retail partner in the U.S. Fiscal terms were not told, though we are disbelieving that the link will drive consequential revenue or profit role.”

REIT Dividends to Help Fight Inflation

Next week, Wall Street will get the latest reading on inflation data, with the consumer price index (CPI) for August set for release ahead of the Sept. 13 open. Prices eased back vaguely in July, but it’s likely that inflation is not done yet

“There is some prove that food prices may be moderating after a year’s worth of large monthly increases,” says Kiplinger economist David Payne. “But long-lasting large wage increases at many businesses are likely to keep upward difficulty on most prices for some time to come.” And even if inflation continues to trend lower, it will take awhile to bring prices back down to a sustainable level. 

Given that surroundings, investors should know that bonus stocks offer a commanding way to allay the effects of red-hot inflation. And one of the best places to find healthy yields is in real estate investment trusts (REITs). Dredge up, REITs are an mainly arresting option for income-seeking investors because they are legally vital to deliver at least 90% of their taxable return back to shareholders. It’s even better when these generous REITs boast exceptional bonus growth. Here, we take a look at 12 real estate stocks that have consistently raised their payouts in recent years, and delivered impressive growth to boot.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Bounce as Oil Prices Crumble

Stocks closed higher Wednesday as bargain hunters swooped in later a lengthy stretch of losses for the major indexes.

Today’s clear price action came as the 10-year Reserves yield eased back from days gone by’s two-month high, dying down 6.7 basis points at 3.273%. A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point. 

And the buying persisted even after Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said in an early day speech that the central bank is “in this for as long as it takes to get inflation down.” The Fed will meet later this month, with the market largely pricing in the probability of a third honest 75 basis-point rate hike.

Nearly all sectors refined higher, with utilities (+3.1%) and consumer bendable stocks (+3.1%) leading the charge. The one outlier was energy, which slumped 1.2% as U.S. crude futures tumbled 5.7% to $81.94 per barrel – their lowest close since Jan. 11, according to Dow Jones Market Data – amid expectations of slowing global fiscal growth. “Oil’s breakdown today is a larger shot across the bow, pointing to further struggles ahead in our opinion,” says Dan Wantrobski, technological strategist and normal boss of investigate at Janney Montgomery Scott. “We believe the commodity can break below $80 from here, targeting the mid-$70s range in the weeks ahead.”

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As for the major indexes, the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.1% to 11,791 – snapping its seven-day losing streak, its longest one since 2016. The S&P 500 Index (+1.8% at 3,979) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (+1.4% at 31,581) also notched impressive gains.

price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday, September 7

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 spiked 2.2% to 1,832.
  • Gold futures gained 0.7% to end at $1,727.80 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin rose as high as $19,183, before backtracking to $19,011.19, up 1% from this time days gone by. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Twitter (TWTR) rose 6.6% after a report in The Wall Street Journal said a Delaware judge ruled that Elon Musk is allowed to include whistleblower allegations against the social media company in his countersuit. But, the judge denied Musk’s request to push the trial back to November from its now scheduled date of Oct. 17. Twitter is suing Musk over his attempt to walk away from a $44 billion deal to buy the company, while the Tesla (TSLA) CEO in a countersuit has accused TWTR of misrepresenting key metrics for its affair. “Even if we believe the whistleblower observations do provide Musk some hope in the imminent trial while adding a vaguely greater deal of uncertainty, we reckon it will eventually be moot and take up again to see a high probability that TWTR will be conquering in the courts,” says CFRA Investigate analyst Angelo Zino (Hold). “We still reckon the most likely outcome is a hold of TWTR by Musk, either forced by the courts or a agreement at less than a 15%-20% money off.”
  • Coupa Software (COUP) jumped 17.9% after the company, who offers cloud-based affair spend management software, reported return. In its second quarter, COUP saw weekly subscription revenues spike 23% year-over-year to a record $193 million, which helped boost total revenue 18% to $211 million. The firm also said its board of directors ordinary a $100 million stock buyback program. UBS Global Investigate analyst Taylor MicGinnis called the results “solid,” but kept a Neutral (Hold) rating on the stock, citing a “more evenhanded” appraisal at current levels given “limited visibility beyond high-teens growth near term.”

Stay Focused on the Larger Picture

Uncertainty over the degree of the Federal Reserve’s next rate hike will take up again to go markets until the central bank’s next policy meeting, scheduled for Sept. 20-21. That makes tomorrow morning’s speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell a key event to watch, and one that could potentially spark more explosive nature for stocks.

But sage investors know these small-term ups and downs are merely noise when compared to the larger picture. “In the end, the day-to-day conniving of the market only matter to the extent we allow them to,” says Ross Mayfield, investment approach analyst at Baird. “Explosive nature and sell-offs – in all of their various shapes and sizes – are just a reality to bear for the long-term stock owner.” 

Indeed, investors can take benefit of the down days to increasingly boost their core choice worth. Not sure where to start? How about with these sturdy blue-chip stocks or by read-through out some of Wall Street’s best bonus payers. For investors wanting a broader deal with, may we suggest the Kip 25. This list of Kiplinger’s pet low-cost mutual funds boast solid long-term routine records and managers with tenures to match. Check them out.

Stock Market Today: Rising-Rate Fears Keep Stocks in the Red

It was a choppy start to the small trading week, with stocks costs time in both clear and halfhearted territory Tuesday. Bears gained the upper hand in the day, though, with the three major indexes ending another day in the red. 

Even if this week’s fiscal calendar is honestly thin, data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) this morning showed that try in the air force sector ticked up to 56.9% in August – the highest level since April – from July’s 56.7%.

“This is the most recent piece of data to suggest the economy remains hard-wearing and as such the market takeaway is that this gives the Fed more room to take up again raising rates,” says Michael Reinking, senior market strategist for the New York Stock Chat. “Futures markets are now pricing in a 75% chance of a 75 basis-point hike later this month from a coin flip late last week.” A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point. 

In result to today’s ISM data, the 10-year Reserves yield rose to its loftiest level since mid-June. This, in turn, weighed on shares in the interaction air force (-1.3%) and equipment (-0.6%) sectors, with names such as streaming giant Netflix (NFLX, -3.4%) and chipmaker Intel (INTC, -2.8%) seeing notable declines.

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As for the major indexes, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7% to 11,544, its seventh honest loss. The S&P 500 Index shed 0.4% to 3,908, and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average gave back 0.6% to 31,145.

price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Tuesday, September 9

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 shed 1% to land at 1,792.
  • U.S. crude futures posted a modest gain to end at $86.88 per barrel.
  • Gold futures fell 0.6% to end at $1,712.90 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin spiraled 5.4% to $18,817.97. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) stock slumped 18.4% after Friday’s death of the home goods seller’s chief fiscal officer, Gustavo Arnal, was ruled a suicide by New York City’s medical examiner. “The entire Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. establishment is very much saddened by this shocking loss,” the company said in a proclamation. Laura Crossen, BBBY’s chief accounting officer, will take over as finance chief on an interim basis. Bed Bath & Beyond gave a affair update last week in which it said it would close underperforming stores and issue a common stock donation. 
  • ADT (ADT) rose 16.4% after the home wellbeing specialist scored $1.65 billion in new funds from State Farm and Alphabet’s (GOOGL, -1.0%) Google. The funding will be used to “support product innovation,” and “expand access for more customers to smart home innovation and technologies,” ADT said in a proclamation. The cheap stock under $10 is now up more than 35% from its June lows.

Billionaire Investors’ Largest Q2 Stock Buys

It’s apt increasingly clear that the summer rally in stocks was not the start of a new bull market. “The 17% rally off the June lows appears to have been just a typical bear market rally,” says Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quantitative approach at BofA Securities. “Our bull market signposts take up again to show no real signs of a bottom, with just 30% being triggered vs. 80%+ triggered in prior bottoms. September has seasonally been a weak month and we expect more pain in the market.” 

The market’s head fake makes a circumstances in which at least some investors might want to re-evaluate their portfolios. And any assessment of your own worth stands to benefit from a look at what other flourishing investors are doing. 

Warren Buffett, for example, did plenty of bargain-hunting in the second quarter as the S&P 500 fell into bear-market territory. But Buffett was hardly alone. We just took a look at the top stock picks of billionaire investors during Q2. The rich get richer for a reason, and studying where they’re putting their money – mainly during times of market havoc – can be an edifying implementation for investors. 

Karee Venema was long GOOGL as of this writing.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Swing Lower as Early Jobs-Fueled Rally Fizzles

Stocks jumped out of the gate Friday after the release of the August jobs report. But enthusiasm from the few investors that stuck around ahead of the long holiday weekend didn’t last, with all three indexes ending in the red.

The Labor Sphere this morning said the U.S. added 315,000 new jobs in August, well below July’s 526,000. Also in the jobs report: the unemployment rate edged up to 3.7% from 3.5%; the labor partaking rate, or the number of people actively seeking work, stuck-up to 62.4% from 62.1%; and average hourly return – a key measure of labor cost inflation – was up 5.2% year-over-year, same as it was in July.

“Friday’s jobs data provided some moderate relief, with payrolls nearly landing correctly on consensus at +315,000 in August,” says Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.” While no doubt a solid advance – and absolutely dithering with depression chatter – other aspects of the report sent some calming signals.” Porter points to steady wage growth, an rising labor force and the rising unemployment rate that suggest “the extreme stiffness in the job market may be admittance to moderate – nearly exactly what the Fed doctor ordered.”

Still, the major indexes, after being up more than 1% each around lunchtime, swung lower in day trading after news reports indicated Russian energy giant Gazprom will indefinitely suspend operations of a natural-gas pipeline to Germany.

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By the close, the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.3% at 11,630, bringing its daily losing streak to six. The S&P 500 Index (-1.1% at 3,924) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (-1.1% at 31,318) also refined in halfhearted territory. All three indexes were lower for a third consecutive week.

As a reminder, the stock market is closed this Monday, Sept. 5, in ceremony of Labor Day.

daily price chart for Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Friday, September 2

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 droppped 0.7% to 1,809.
  • U.S. crude futures edged up 0.3% to $86.87 per barrel today, but still refined 6.7% lower on the week.
  • Gold futures rose 0.8% Friday to settle at $1,722.60 an ounce, but gave back 1.6% on a weekly basis. 
  • Bitcoin ticked 0.1% higher to $19,900.05. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Starbucks (SBUX) fell 2.9% after the coffee-shop chain said it has appointed Laxman Narasimhan as its new CEO. Narasimhan is the former CEO of U.K. consumer brands company Reckitt Benckiser Group (RBGLY). He is slated to start at Starbucks on Oct. 1, before absolutely taking over the reins from interim CEO Howard Schultz next spring. “Defying expectations for someone on the board or formerly in Starbucks management to take the helm, Starbucks instead tapped an foreigner to lead the company,” says William Blair analyst Sharon Zackfia. The analyst has an Go one better than rating on SBUX, which is the corresponding of a Buy, “given ongoing healthy domestic demand, the global might of the brand (and acquiescent pricing power), and healthy  balance sheet.”
  • Lululemon Athletica (LULU) jumped 6.7% after the commanding apparel maker reported return. In its second quarter, LULU brought in return of $2.20 per share on revenue of $1.9 billion, easily beating analysts’ consensus estimates. The company also said same-store sales were up 28% in the three-month period. “Lululemon has a strong brand and growing direct-to-consumer sales, which we expect will lead to higher margins over the next several years,” says Argus Investigate analyst John Staszak. “Despite headwinds, we expect the company’s momentum to take up again.” Staszak says that even though supply was up 85% in Q2, the company “sells a higher percentage of its harvest at full price than its competitors and should not have to cut its prices in order to go its supply.” He adds that LULU’s prospects “are among the best in the apparel sector.”

Why Investors Should Thought-out Bonus Stocks

Today’s jobs data is surely an vital factor in the Fed’s rate-hike plans, but it’s arguably not the most vital one. The August consumer price index (CPI), which is set for release on Sept. 13, “will remain key for how the Fed weighs its declaration a propos the degree of the September hike,” says Luke Tilley and Rhea Thomas, chief economist and senior economist, correspondingly, at Wilmington Trust. “The outlook for inflation remains the primary concern for investors. Persistent inflation is weighing on sentiment for patrons and businesses and renewing concern that aggressive Fed policy could push the U.S. into depression.” 

Ahead of this data point and the Fed’s policy meeting, markets are likely to stay precarious. Investors have options for riding out the market’s twists and turns, and one of the better ones is to focus on dependable equity income stocks. There’s no famine of bonus-paying names on Wall Street, counting those that issue monthly dividends. But what better way to find the cream of the crop than by looking at the Bonus Nobles? These S&P 500 stocks have earned their stripes by consistently raising annual distributions for at least 25 years without interruption. Investors wanting to add income stability to their portfolios amid an unstable market will surely want to check out this list.

Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls for a Fifth Straight Day

Stocks kicked off September on a choppy note, though two of the major market indexes managed to push higher in the final minutes of trading.

Thursday’s early selling came courtesy of stronger-than-probable fiscal data that stoked worries the Federal Reserve will take up again to be aggressive in raising rates and hold them higher for longer. Particularly, the Labor Sphere this morning said weekly jobless claims fell by 5,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 232,000. Economists were in the family way initial unemployment claims to arrive at 248,000. (Reminder: Tomorrow morning will see the release of the last nonfarm payrolls report – the most noteworthy of the job numbers – to come out ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.)

Everyplace else, the Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) – a measure of manufacturing try – held steady at 52.8 in July. “While that marks the lowest level in two years, that’s still better than expectations calling for a decline,” says Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, economist at BMO Capital Markets. “The details were also mostly clear with new orders clawing back into expansionary terrain, up 3.3 points to 51.3.” She adds that “supplier manner of language stuck-up to the best level since January 2020, signifying easing supply constraints.”

Also weighing on the market was a major spike in the 10-year Reserves yield, which jumped 12.5 basis points to 3.257%, its highest level since June. (A basis point is one-one hundredth of a percentage point.) Rising rates and news that the U.S. regime is restricting sales of certain chips to China and Russia delivered a hard punch to semiconductor stocks, with Nvidia (NVDA, -7.7%) and Well ahead Micro Devices (AMD,-3.0%) ending sharply lower.

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As such, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 11,785, its fifth honest loss. The S&P 500 (+0.3% at 3,966) and the Dow (+0.5% at 31,656) managed to erase earlier losses to end the day with modest gains.

daily performance of Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Sept. 1, 2022

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 shed 1.2% to 1,822.
  • U.S. crude futures slumped 3.3% to $86.61 per barrel as China initiated a new round of COVID-19 lockdowns in the city of Chengdu.
  • Gold futures fell 1% to $1,709.30 an ounce, its lowest agreement since July 20.
  • Bitcoin retreated 1.7% to $19,870.30. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Okta (OKTA) plunged 33.7% after the software company warned of issues arising from its acquisition of Auth0. Okta bought the self platform for $6.5 billion back in May 2021, and the firm has faced challenges integrating the sales staff. “Sales integration harms were a primary headwind to billings [in Q2] as OKTA veteran stuck-up erosion rates from sales employees, causing disruptions and mix-up in its go-to-market,” says CFRA Investigate analyst Janice Quek (Buy). “The company also saw longer sales cycles as a result of the macro background. We cut expectations on its topline growth as OKTA tackles these challenges, but remain clear on the company on favorable prospects of the diligence, OKTA’s market share in Self, and the likely small-lived nature of current headwinds.”

The Best Bargain Stocks Investors Can Buy

If it’s any consolation for investors, what goes down will eventually come back up. Right, the market’s recent selloff stirs up habitual fears investors have had all year long, and plenty of uncertainty remains. 

The drawdown could get worse before it gets better, says Dan Ashmore, investing expert at investment in rank website Invezz. “The only thing we know for a fact is that, historically, such large drawdowns often make for a excellent time to buy,” he adds. “With a time horizon long enough – and that is the key – it’s a nice time to buy.” 

That sentiment is shared by Kiplinger journalist James A. Glassman. “Smart investors take a long view, both forward and backward. They look wisely at a company’s movement over the years and then try to forecast a decade out. With this kind of breakdown, the 2022 decline is clearly a buying chance,” Glassman writes. With this in mind, he told five of the largest tech bargains to buy right now – each of which represents solid picks for long-term investors.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Extend Losing Streak as Fed Fears Persist

Stocks once again erased early gains to end lower for a fourth honest session as investors nonstop to fret about an total rate-hike battle from the Federal Reserve.

Wednesday’s decline came after Cleveland Fed Head Loretta Mester said during this morning’s speech in Dayton, Ohio, that “it is far too soon to say that inflation has peaked.” Mester, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Group (FOMC), added that she does not anticipate any rate cuts this year or next. 

Wall Street also got another read on the labor market, with this morning’s ADP employment report estimating the U.S. added a lower-than-probable 132,000 private-sector jobs in August, down from July’s reading of 270,000. This comes ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report – the last major check on employment ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.

“So it starts,” says Edward Moya, senior market strategist at currency data source OANDA. “The labor market is cooling as private payrolls clearly showed a more conservative pace of hiring. ADP’s new slant was in place and showed job growth slowed for a second consecutive month as companies added the fewest jobs since early 2021.” 

The Friday jobs report is likely to take up again this narrative. The consensus assess is for 300,000 jobs, compared to the 528,000 new positions added in July. “A slower pace of hiring still gives the Fed the greenlight for more aggressive rate hikes over the next couple of FOMC meetings,” Moya adds.

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At today’s close, the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.6% at 11,816, with the S&P 500 Index (-0.8% at 3,955) and the Dow Jones Manufacturing Average (-0.9% at 31,510) also ending lower. All three indexes refined August with monthly losses of more than 4%.

stock price chart 083122

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 shed 0.5% to 1,846.
  • U.S. crude futures fell 2.3% to end at $89.55 per barrel, bringing their monthly decline to 9.2%. This marked the third honest monthly decline for oil prices, the longest such streak since early 2020.
  • Gold futures finished the day down 0.6% at $1,726.20 an ounce, and finished the month off 3.1%. It was the fifth consecutive monthly drop for gold prices, the lengthiest losing streak since 2018.
  • Bitcoin rose 1.3% to $20,212.29. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
  • Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) plunged 21.3% after the homegoods seller unveiled a strategic update, which includes plans for a 12 million common stock donation, the closing of roughly 150 underperforming stores and a round of layoffs. BBBY also said it is pausing store remodels and updates for the remainder of its fiscal year as it looks to lower capital expenditures to around $250 million from $400 million. Even with today’s decline, the meme stock finished the month up 90%.
  • Cost-cutting plans sent social media stock Snap (SNAP, +9.7%) higher today. The Snapchat parent last night unveiled a reorganization plot that includes cutting roughly 20% of its labor force and ending several projects counting its Snap Originals premium show lineup. “We are reorganization our affair to boost focus on our three strategic priorities: union growth, revenue growth, and greater than before reality,” CEO Evan Spiegal said in a memo. The periodical comes just weeks after Snap posted its weakest quarter of revenue growth ever.

Check Out These Cheap Stocks Under $10

Investors would be wise to stay on their toes for just a bit longer. “September and October are traditionally shifty months for the market,” says Anthony Denier, CEO of trading platform Webull. “So, people should expect choppy waters. Observably, investors need to watch the fiscal indicators. Is inflation rising or falling? Will GDP growth be halfhearted in the third quarter, confirming that we are in a depression? Will the job market start to cool off?” 

We’ve used this space before to mention ways investors can shore up their choice against explosive nature risk. This includes focusing on habitual safety plays like utilities and consumer staples stocks, or honing in on low-explosive nature stocks

But, some investors prefer the thrill of a roller-coaster ride – and what better way to encounter the excitement than with cheap stocks. Many people avoid low-priced stocks because they are exceptionally risky and precarious, but others be thankful for their affordability factor and ability to return huge gains in small order. Here, we’ve compiled a list of 10 cheap stocks under $10, each with a touch to offer investors. But buyer beware: as quickly as these low-priced stocks can go up, they can go down. Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose.

Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act: Investing Winners and Losers

It may still be a few weeks before Head Joe Biden signs it, but it looks like the Inflation Saving Act is about to become reality. The legislation passed the Senate, and it now awaits review by the House of government, likely by next week. But the main stumbling blocks have been cleared, making the rest mostly a form. 

It remains to be seen whether the Inflation Saving Act in fact reduces inflation. It is, after all, first and chief a costs bill, and new regime costs tends to be inflationary. Eventually, Federal Reserve policy, the untangling of the global supply chain, and augmented energy manufacture to offset the effects of Russian sanctions will have far more impact on inflation.

All the same, this is one of the most noteworthy pieces of legislation in years, and it has major implications for American environmental policy and prescription drug prices.  

We’ll start with the two largest talking points: green investment and Medicare pricing. The bill would plow $369 billion into renewable energy investment, counting wind and solar projects, with a goal of sinking carbon emissions by 40% by 2030. It would also expand tax credits for gripping vehicle (EV) buys and promote U.S. energy independence.

The other huge news is that Medicare would be able to negotiate drug prices for the first time, potentially lowering prescription costs for both patients and taxpayers.

Of course, nothing is free. To pay for all of this, the bill would levy a 1% tax on all corporate share buybacks and a 15% minimum corporate income tax on any company with more than $1 billion in revenues. 

“We find the the makings tax on share buybacks to be above all appealing,” says Sonia Joao, chief in commission officer of Houston-based RIA Robertson Wealth Management. “Share buybacks have been a well loved way for American companies, and above all tech firms, to reward their shareholders. This may incentivize them to spend less on payouts and more on dividends or debt saving. It’s early, but we could see this having far-ranging implications for the U.S. market.”

Stock buybacks have added trillions of dollars in buying difficulty over the past decade. In fact, the companies of the S&P 500 bought back approximately $1 trillion in just the past four quarters alone, according to Yardeni Investigate. So, clearly, any noteworthy change in buying patterns will potentially have an outsized impact on the market. It could mean higher dividends, but lower capital appreciation. 

Today, we’re going to look at some of the the makings winners and losers of the Inflation Saving Act. 

Data is as of Aug. 5.

1 of 7

Winner: Tesla

A blue Tesla featuring the branding of car app Revel
  • Diligence: Auto manufacturers
  • Market value: $903.0 billion

One of the most obvious winners of the Inflation Saving Act  is gripping vehicle leader Tesla (TSLA, $864.51). 

Tesla was an early receiver of federal taxpayer subsidies for EV buys. But sorry to say, the company also became a victim of its own success. By  2018, Tesla had already sold more than 200,000 gripping vehicles, which meant that they had exhausted their regime allowance… and that buyers were no longer free to the $7,500 credit. This place Tesla at a major drawback to younger startups or to habitual automakers that had only just dipped their toes into the EV market, as its harvest were fruitfully $7,500 more pricey. 

The Inflation Saving Act lifts the cap, thus making Tesla EVs eligible for the subsidy again. 

Subsidies, or the lack thereof, wasn’t Tesla’s only issue, of course. The company faces an attack of new struggle in both gripping vehicles and in independent driving, two areas where Tesla had a major head start. Tesla also has both the blessing and the curse of being run by eccentric billionaire Elon Musk. Musk remains a thinker in the EV space, but his media antics – such as his attempted hold of social media platform Twitter (TWTR) – have proven to be a entertainment.

Still, the return of the subsidy is a huge deal, as is the broader focus on clean, renewable energy. This may have been just the shot in the arm that Tesla’s shares needed. 

One caveat: The rebate only applies to cars priced under $55,000. So, Tesla might need to sell a cheaper model or a slimmed down version of its Model 3 if it is to take full benefit. 

2 of 7

Winner: Albemarle

processing plant at Australian lithium mine
  • Diligence: Sphere chemicals
  • Market value: $27.9 billion

A major investment in renewable energy and in gripping vehicles can only mean one thing: a massive boost in demand for energy storage. EVs depend on large battery packs, and storage is a vital part of making solar and wind energy viable replacements for fossil fuels. After all, the sun doesn’t shine at night, and the wind doesn’t blow all the time. 

Demand for battery storage means demand for lithium, and that’s excellent news for major lithium producers like Albemarle (ALB, $237.99).

Founded in 1887, Albemarle is a leading global producer of lithium and bromine. Without the raw equipment that ALB produces, there could be no Tesla or any other gripping vehicle. But beyond that, there could be no iPhone or battery-powered laptop pad either. Effectively every wireless electronic gadget you own depends on a lithium ion battery.  And those batteries depend on the mining and manufacture of high-quality lithium.

Albemarle isn’t a glitzy tech stock. It’s a gritty equipment stock. But it’s the gritty equipment stock that makes glitzy tech doable. 

Demand for lithium was already strong long before the Inflation Saving Act was dreamed up, and demand would take up again to be strong even if the bill somehow died in the House of government. But the the makings boost in demand due to the bill’s climate provisions will only turbocharge ALB even higher. 

3 of 7

Startling Winner: Energy Conveying

oil pipeline
  • Diligence: Oil & gas halfway through
  • Market value: $33.4 billion

The Inflation Saving Act is known mostly for its accent on renewable energy. After all, it pledged to reduce conservatory gasses 40% by 2030. But given that West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin’s vote was vital to the bill’s passage – and given the substance of habitual fossil fuels to the Mountain State – there were a few sweeteners for energy and energy infrastructure companies. 

At the heart of it is a revision of the permitting process for infrastructure, counting pipelines, that would force the regime to make a declaration on whether or not to issue a permit within two years. 

Major pipeline projects, counting the Dakota Access and the Grounding pipelines, have been biased hot potatoes over the past decade. Eliminating some of the uncertainty surrounding new projects – and forcing the regime to give a honest answer in a evenhanded timeline – is a major plus for pipeline operators and above all serial growers like Energy Conveying (ET, $10.82).

ET operates over 120,000 miles of pipeline assets, and approximately 30% of all American natural gas flows through Energy Conveying assets.  

Natural gas is thorough a “bridge” energy source by many, or an interim step in transitioning away from dirty coal into clean renewable energy. But it’s a bridge that we may be crossing for decades, and in the meantime, there is money to be made. At current prices, Energy Conveying yields over 8%. 

4 of 7

Winner: NextEra Energy

dedication of solar panel in Nevada
  • Diligence: Utilities – corresponding gripping
  • Market value: $172.9 billion

The stated aim of the bill, apart from lowering inflation, is to make the U.S. energy grid greener. As such, $113 billion is earmarked to promote the construction of new renewable electricity plants. That should be  boon to NextEra Energy (NEE, $87.98) and other utility operators with a major incidence in renewable energy. NEE has ambitious plans in place to eliminate its carbon emissions completely. Already, the company is the world’s largest producer of wind and solar energy.

But the refund to utilities go beyond the incentives to build more room. If the bill is flourishing in advancing the transition to gripping vehicles, then demand for electricity will genuinely rise as drivers use instead a trip to the gas station with an overnight charge in their garage. 

And the same holds right for appliances, hot water heaters and home heating systems. While we will still be using natural gas in void construction for decades, new construction will depend far more heavily on electricity.

5 of 7

Loser: Apple

people standing outside of Apple store
  • Diligence: Consumer electronics
  • Market value: $2.66 trillion

Whether or not Apple (AAPL, $165.35) is a winner or loser here will depend on how the company reacts to the tax on stock buybacks. Apple spent over $85 billion on repurchases last year, and in the past decade, that number is close to half a trillion. And this was before the company announced a new $90 billion buyback plot back in April.

Half a trillion dollars is a lot of money, even for a company as large as Apple. And while those buybacks are tribute to the company’s massive success and nearly unbelievable ability to breed mountains of free cash flow, let’s face it: This amount of buying difficulty from Apple’s reserves has clearly had an impact on the share price. This isn’t a testable hypothesis, and we have no way to know what AAPL’s value would be today in the absence of those repurchases. But it’s not a stretch to say that its share price is much higher today than it would have been without all of that bonus buying. 

So, no matter what thing that curtails buybacks going forward would be a the makings risk for Apple shareholders. 

Now, Apple has options here. They can choose to plow some of that buyback money into higher dividends or even into a one-time special bonus. Or, they could further strengthen their already fort-strong balance sheet by paying down debt.

And it’s completely doable that Apple just continues with its buyback plans and considers the tax a cost of doing affair. The 1% levy really isn’t going to make or break the company.

So, while Apple is a the makings investing loser of the Inflation Saving Act… it’s not likely to lose all that much, and neither are its fellow buy-back hoovering tech competitors, such as Meta Platforms (META) and Alphabet (GOOGL).

6 of 7

Loser: Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson building
  • Diligence: Drug manufacturers – general
  • Market value: $449.9 billion

Huge Pharma will have to negotiate with Medicare going forward. And since Medicare pricing tends to drive the pricing by private indemnity companies as well, the impact on drug costs should be noteworthy. This should be a major win for patients and taxpayers alike. 

That said, we have to temper expectations here. The law phases in negotiation in stages, with only 10 drugs subject to negotiation in 2026. And newer drugs would not be eligible for negotiation until at least nine years after their release.

Further complicating this is the fact that we still don’t know which drugs will make the first cut. 

Still, a precedent is being set. And future acts of House of representatives will likely accelerate what the Inflation Saving Act has started. 

None of this is above all excellent for Huge Pharma giants like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, $171.11). Given the phased nature of the negotiation, there will be no critical impact on JNJ’s profitability. But it’s coming, so investors should be set. 

7 of 7

Loser: Amazon.com

Amazon Prime delivery vans
  • Diligence: Internet retail
  • Market value: $1.43 trillion

Amazon.com (AMZN, $140.80) is a wonder of modern capitalism. Amazon in effect made the e-buying economy from scratch and then followed that up by making the cloud computing economy from scratch. It’s honest to say that AMZN is the most influential company of the past 30 years, and it has done more to develop the way we live than any other company of our lifetimes. 

AMZN also happens to be a pioneer in legal tax averting. Despite generating $35.1 billion in U.S. profits in 2021, the company loved a federal income tax rate of just 6.1%, according to the Institute on Taxation and Fiscal Policy. 

Now, to be clear, Amazon did nothing “incorrect” by avoiding taxes. We all do all in our power to lower our tax bills, and AMZN simply took benefit of the opportunities open. It would be doing a incorrect to its investors to not take benefit.

Well, that landscape is now varying. Under the Inflation Saving Act, companies with at least $1 billion in profits would be vital to pay a minimum tax rate of 15% on their reported profits. 

Amazon will take up again to mint money. But going forward, it’s going to have to share a larger chunk of it with Uncle Sam, which means less for those invested in AMZN stock.

Stock Market Today: Stocks Erase Early Lead to End Lower

The major indexes opened Monday solidly higher amid a round of well-expected bank return, but chipped away at these gains to eventually end lower. 

Garnering the most concentration from this morning’s return calendar was Goldman Sachs (GS, +2.5%), which reported double-digit percentage declines in its top and bottom lines, though both figures beat analysts’ consensus estimates. The blue-chip fiscal firm also said Q2 trading revenue soared 32% year-over-year to $6.5 billion – offsetting a 41% decline in investment banking revenue. 

Also in focus today was the Inhabitant Friendship of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo housing market index – a measure of builder confidence – which fell to 55 in July from 67 in June, its seventh-honest decline and largest month-over-month drop since April 2020. 

“Most as regards, traffic of prospective buyers fell to the lowest since May 2020, signifying that the housing market has more downside to go as appeal rates trek higher and inflation chisels away consumer purchasing power,” says Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for self-determining broker-dealer LPL Fiscal. 

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A nonstop brake in the housing real estate market “hinges on the duration of historic inflationary pressures for homebuilders from high raw notes prices and a tight labor market,” Roach says.

After being up as much as 1.5% earlier, the Nasdaq Composite finished the day down 0.8% at 11,360. The Dow Jones Manufacturing Average and S&P 500 Index also erased early leads to close lower (-0.7% at 31,072; -0.8% at 3,830).

stock price chart 071822

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 fell 0.3% to 1,738.
  • U.S. crude futures jumped 5.1% to settle at $102.60 per barrel.
  • Gold futures rose 0.4% to end at $1,710.20 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin climbed 2.2% to $21,600.70. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.) 
  • Bank of America (BAC, +0.03%) reported a 32% year-over-year decline in return to 73 cents per share in its second quarter, due in part to a $523 million credit-loss provision. On an adjusted basis, the bank recorded return of 78 cents per share. Revenue rose 5.6% to $22.8 billion, while net appeal income jumped 22% to $12.4 billion. “We were clear on the net appeal income, which was driven by higher net appeal margin,” says David Wagner, choice manager at investment firm Aptus Capital Advisors. “While trading and investment banking revenues appear a small light relation to peers that have reported already, clear year-over-year in commission control (even counting the dictatorial charges) chains our belief that the compensation of scale will differentiate BAC in the medium-term.”
  • Energy stocks rallied alongside crude oil prices today. Among the huge gainers were ConocoPhillips (COP, +2.6%), Devon Energy (DVN, +3.6%) and Lengthy Oil (MRO, +3.5%).

What to Watch For This Return Season

The second-quarter return calendar really gets rolling this week. While fiscal stocks like Goldman have been the main focus so far, over the next several weeks, we’ll start to see how other sectors fared during a period that built-in inflation rising at its fastest pace in 40 years and the Federal Reserve initiating its most aggressive rate-hiking cycle in nearly three decades.

Megan Horneman, chief investment officer for self-determining fiscal firm Verdence Capital Advisors, highlights several things investors should watch for this return season, counting updates on the supply chain. “The global supply chain has been a hamper to return as equipment are not void to make harvest to sell,” she says. “What we will be watching closely is sentiment around the global supply chain and any more proposition of companies that may have overstocked and face an supply extend beyond.”

Horneman adds that the impact of the foreign chat markets on Q2 return will also be noteworthy, above all as the U.S. dollar index climbed 6.5% over the three-month period. “Currency markets are an vital factor to thought-out when analyzing return, mainly for those multinational corporations,” she says. “A strong U.S. dollar not only makes American goods less competitive, but when the foreign currency is converted back into U.S. dollars, it can serve as a drag on return.”

Indeed, forex headwinds could be the “swing factor” for healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) Q2 return report says BofA Global Investigate analyst Geoff Meacham. JNJ reports before tomorrow’s open and is one of several companies whose weekly return we’re previewing, counting Twitter (TWTR), which has been at the center of much drama over Elon Musk’s aborted capture attempt.

Karee Venema was long BAC as of this writing.

Twitter Earnings on Tap, But All Eyes on Musk Court Battle

The second-quarter return season got off to a rocky start last week later disappointing reports from several huge banks. Wall Street will stay focused on how the fiscal sector fared over the three-month period, but notable names from other corners of the market are featured on this week’s return calendar, as well. Among them are interaction air force stocks Twitter (TWTR, $37.22) and Netflix (NFLX, $185.77), as well as healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, $177.76).

“The interaction air force sector has recorded the second-largest percentage fall in estimated return of all eleven sectors since the start of Q2,” says John Butters, senior return analyst for FactSet. “As a result, the estimated (year-over-year) return decline for this sector is now 9.1%, compared to an return growth rate of 0.3% on March 31.”

As for healthcare stocks, FactSet data points to a more modest estimated return decline of 0.2%. 

But John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management, suggests that company guidance could be more vital than the actual reported profits this time around, above all as it relates to the impacts of inflation, slowing growth, the Ukraine war and the Fed’s fiscal policy. “We believe each of these areas will weigh on sales and margins in the coming quarters, signifying consensus estimates are too optimistic going forward,” Lynch says.

Twitter Q2 Return Set for Sizable Drop

The path forward will surely be top of mind for investors when Twitter unveils its second-quarter return report before the July 22 open. 

Analysts, on average, are looking for the social media platform to report second-quarter return of 15 cents per share, down 25% year-over-year (YoY). Revenue is probable to arrive at $1.3 billion (+23.8% YoY).

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But updates surrounding Twitter’s looming court battle with Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk will really be what Wall Street is waiting for. Particularly, on July 12, the company filed a lawsuit against Musk after he said he is terminating his $44-billion dollar deal to hold the company. TWTR alleges that the billionaire “refuses to honor his obligations to Twitter and its stockholders because the deal he signed no longer serves his private wellbeing.”

“The Street and legal experts across the board view Twitter as having a strong upper hand heading into the Delaware court battle after months of this fiasco and nightmare playing out since April,” says Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives (Neutral). The analyst says there are “a range of promise” that can come from the lawsuit, counting agreement or the enforcement of a deal. 

“For now, Twitter’s stock will take up again to trade as a standalone basis as the long and hideous courtroom battle now starts to play out in Delaware courts,” he adds.

It should be noted, but, that Twitter earlier said per a July 13 press release that it will not be hosting a talks call after its Q2 results.

Netflix Subscriber Losses Main Focus for Q2 Return 

Netflix has had its honest share of drama in 2022, with shares down more than 69% for the year-to-date. A noteworthy part of these losses came in the wake of the streaming navy Q1 return report, when it unveiled its first subscriber loss in over a decade.

But in Q2, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter believes NFLX will report fewer subscriber losses than at the start feared. He estimates a 1.5 million global net streaming loss, versus guidance for a net streaming loss of 2.0 million.

“We reckon that Netflix is positioned to exceed its guidance for Q2, above all because of the staggered release date for Weirder Things 4, which has very strong viewership,” Pachter says. “While it is doable that the company will once again issue muted guidance for Q3, we reckon that the staggered release dates limited churn at quarter end and once again.”

Additionally, the analyst – who has an Outpeform (Buy) rating on NFLX – says there is “clearly noteworthy upside” to the stock later its recent selloff. 

Overall, consensus estimates for Netflix’s second-quarter report – due out after Tuesday’s close – are for return of $2.96 per share (-0.3% YoY) and revenue of $8.0 billion (+9.5% YoY).

Forex Headwinds Largest Swing Factor for J&J Return

Johnson & Johnson is one of just a handful of Dow Jones stocks trading in clear territory for the year-to-date, with shares up around 3.8%.

“U.S. Biopharma continues to trade defensively despite explosive nature in the broader market mostly due to solid sector nitty-gritty,” says BofA Global Investigate analyst Geoff Meacham. “Indeed, even with a long drawn out COVID-19 impact, forex explosive nature and rising inflation, biopharmas have been thus far hard-wearing to macro stresses in the first half of 2022.”

Meacham adds that JNJ’s second-quarter return report, which will be unhindered ahead of the July 19 open, could help set the tone for the sector. 

“Overall, we aren’t in the family way many surprises with JNJ likely to reiterate 2022 guidance, with forex headwinds the largest swing factor,” the analyst says. As far as segments go, he’s upbeat on pharma and consumer, but expects to see a decline in revenue for medical devices due to long-lasting dynamics in course of action volume.

Analysts’ average estimates for Johnson & Johnson’s Q2 report include return of $2.57 per share (+3.6% YoY) and revenue of $23.8 billion (+2.2% YoY).

Amazon Prime Day Is Over, But AMZN Stock Is Still a Steal

Amazon.com (AMZN, $113.23) Prime Day has come and gone, but investors can still pick up AMZN stock at a deep, deep money off.

Shares are off by 32% for the year-to-date, lagging the broader market by about 13 percentage points. Rising fears of depression and its the makings impact on retail costs are partly reliable for the selloff. The market’s rotation out of pricey growth stocks and into more value-oriented names is also doing AMZN no favors. See the chart below:

AMZN stock Amazon Prime Day

Right, Amazon is hardly alone when it comes to mega-cap names getting slaughtered in 2022. Where the stock does characterize itself is in its deeply bargain basement priced appraisal, and the mass of Wall Street analysts banging the table for it as a screaming bargain buy.

AMZN’s Elite Consensus Authorize

It’s well known that Sell calls are rare on the Street. For uncommon reasons completely, it’s nearly equally unusual for analysts (as a group, anyway) to bestow natural praise on a name. Indeed, only 25 stocks in the S&P 500 carry a consensus authorize of Strong Buy.

AMZN happens to be one of them. Of the 53 analysts issuing opinions on the stock tracked by S&P Global Market Acumen, 37 rate it at Strong Buy, 13 say Buy, one has it at Hold, one says Sell and one says Strong Sell.

If there is a single point of contract among the many, many AMZN bulls, it’s that shares have been beaten down past the point of reason.

Here’s perhaps the best example of that disconnect: At current levels, Amazon’s cloud-computing affair alone is worth more than the value the market is assigning to the entire company.

Just look at Amazon’s enterprise value, or its hypothetical takeout price that fiscal proclamation for both cash and debt. It stands at $1.09 trillion. Meanwhile, Amazon Web Air force – the company’s quick-growing cloud-computing affair – has an estimated enterprise value by itself of $1.2 trillion to $2 trillion, analysts say. 

In other words, if you buy AMZN stock at current levels, you’re getting the retail affair in effect for free. Right, AWS and Amazon’s exposure air force affair are the company’s bright stars, generating outsized growth rates. But retail still fiscal proclamation for more than half of the company’s total sales.

More habitual appraisal metrics tell much the same tale with AMZN stock. Shares change hands at 42 times analysts’ 2023 return per share assess, according to data from YCharts. And yet AMZN has traded at an average forward P/E of 147 over the past five years. 

Paying 42-times probable return might not sound like a bargain on the face of it. But then few companies are forecast to breed average annual EPS growth of more than 40% over the next three to five years. Amazon is. Combine those two estimates, and AMZN offers far better value than the S&P 500.

Analysts Say AMZN Is Primed for Outperformance

Be forewarned that as emotively priced as AMZN stock might be, appraisal is pretty unhelpful as a timing tool. Investors committing fresh capital to the stock should be set to be patient. 

That said, the Street’s collective bullishness suggests AMZN investors won’t have to wait too long to delight in some truly outsized returns. With an average target price of $175.12, analysts give AMZN stock implied upside of a monstrous 55% in the next 12 months or so. 

JPMorgan Chase Kicks Off Q2 Earnings Season

Second-quarter return season kicks off this week with several large fiscal firms – counting JPMorgan Chase (JPM, $114.67) – set to report. Other notable names on the return calendar include air carrier Delta Air Lines (DAL, $29.94) and indemnity giant UnitedHealth Group (UNH, $524.45).

“For Q2 2022, the estimated return growth rate for the S&P 500 is 4.3%,” says John Butters, senior return analyst for FactSet. “If 4.3% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the lowest return growth rate reported by the index since Q4 2020 (4.0%).” 

And this 4.3% assess is down from the March 31 estimated return growth rate of 5.9%, with seven sectors probable to report lower second-quarter return than what was projected at the end of Q1. This is led by a 20.9% saving in return expectations for consumer bendable stocks, according to Butters. Energy stocks, on the other hand, saw a 42.2% boost in their return estimates.

“The energy sector will be watched closely right through the exposure period,” says Ross Bramwell, principal at investment advisory firm Homrich Berg. “As overall Q2 return estimates are in the mid-single-digits range, it is likely that without the energy sector overall return growth would be halfhearted.” 

Bramwell adds that trends show halfhearted return guidance is being issued by more S&P 500 companies for the second quarter and the full fiscal year compared to recent averages. “So it is quite doable that return estimates take up again to go lower through the exposure period,” he says.

JPMorgan Chase to Post Sharp Drop in Q2 Return

While weekly results from energy firms will start to roll in later this month, this week’s focus will be firmly on how fiscal firms fared in Q2.

“This year was held to benefit banks with fiscal recovery, but the Fed’s rate rise regime to suppress inflation has hurt shareholder and borrower sentiment,” says CFRA Investigate analyst Kenneth Leon.

The analyst doesn’t expect huge banks to post annual EPS growth, but believes some firms – counting JPMorgan Chase, which will unveil its second-quarter results ahead of Thursday’s open – will report an boost in revenue over the year-ago period.

Consensus estimates from Wall Street pros seem to agree with this outlook. Analysts, on average, expect JPM to report second-quarter return of $2.94 per share, down 22.2% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. Revenue is projected to arrive at $32.0 billion (+6.7% YoY).

“Q2 2022 results are poised to benefit from rising rates, nonstop loan growth and modest credit losses,” says Piper Sandler analyst Jeffery Harte, who has an Hefty (Buy) rating on JPM. But, “investors are more focused on a potentially looming depression.” As such, he expects outlook commentary to “steal the show,” with “credit (when and by how much could losses boost), the prospects for nonstop loan growth and the the makings for investment banking try levels to rebound” among the “primary areas of concern.”

Delta Likely Saw Strong Demand in Q2

Delta Air Lines will unveil its second-quarter return report ahead of the July 13 open. 

BofA Global Investigate analyst Andrew Didora (Buy) believes DAL’s results will be at the lower end of guidance due to recent operational issues (which include rising fuel costs and pilot shortages).

But even with these issues, “U.S. airlines just reported that their return recoveries have accelerated in Q2,” says CFRA Investigate analyst Colin Scarola (Strong Buy).

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“In the month of May, U.S. jet fuel prices averaged $3.90 per gallon, which was up 123% YoY and up 107% from the average 2019 price of $1.88,” Scarola adds. “Nonetheless, U.S. airlines have seen their return prospects improve as a post-endemic demand surge drives revenue growth that is more than offsetting the rapid rise in expenses.”

For DAL’s second quarter, analysts, on average, are calling for return per share of $1.64 – compared to last year’s per-share loss of $1.07 – and revenue of $13.3 billion (+87% YoY; +6.4% over Q2 2019).

UnitedHealth Group Probable to Show Solid Growth in Q2

UnitedHealth Group is one of a handful of Dow Jones stocks trading in clear territory in 2022, with shares up more than 4% for the year-to-date.

Not surprisingly, Wall Street pros are upbeat toward the indemnity stock. Of the 26 analysts later UNH that are tracked by S&P Global Market Acumen, 15 say it’s a Strong Buy and six call it a Buy. This compares to four Holds and just one Sell. 

“We urge buying UNH based on the stock’s bullish trend … and choice tailwinds from a moderately strong Managed Care sub-diligence,” says Oppenheimer analyst Ari Wald (Buy).

As for UnitedHealth’s second-quarter return report – due out ahead of Friday’s open – the pros, on average, are anticipating return of $5.20 per share (+10.6% YoY) and revenue of $79.7 billion (+14.7% YoY).

Micron Technology (MU) Earnings Expected to Show Strong Growth

We’ve reached the tail end of return season. But, there are still a handful of notable stragglers left to report – counting memory chipmaker Micron Equipment (MU, $58.71), slated on the return calendar to unveil its fiscal third-quarter results after the June 30 close.

Micron, like so many of its fellow semiconductor stocks, has struggled on the charts in the first half of 2022, down 37% for the year-to-date.

Still, MU remains a “top pick in semis” for UBS Global Investigate analyst Timothy Arcuri (Buy). 

“Amid macro concerns, we believe investors take up again to overlook several key factors,” Arcuri says. The analyst points to lower supply amid raw notes shortages and a delay in gear lead times, as well as demand that will be buoyed by a ramp up in new cloud server platforms in 2023. Arcuri says MU also remains the leader in NAND.

“Given all of these diligence and MU-point factors, we expect MU’s [return per share] EPS to hold up very well,” he adds.

For Micron’s fiscal third quarter, analysts, on average, are calling for return of $2.46 per share, up 30.9% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. Revenue is probable to arrive at $8.7 billion (+16.8% YoY).

China Lockdowns Likely Dragged on Nike Return

Nike (NKE, $111.43) is one of two Dow Jones stocks scheduled to report return this week, with the fiscal fourth-quarter results from the commanding apparel seller due out after the June 27 close.

NKE stock has had a rough run in recent months – off 33% for the year-to-date. And the company’s troubles have not been not limited to the charts.

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“Nike’s global trends were likely worse than probable in its fiscal fourth quarter due to much tougher China lockdowns than the company implied in its guidance,” says Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti. 

But, the analyst believes that while global supply chains remain tough, “consumer demand for the brand remains very strong, and we reckon Nike has been pushing harder to get supply out to end markets in the U.S. & Europe to help offset small-lived slow-moving China trends in the quarter.”

Binetti has an Go one better than rating on the consumer bendable stock – the corresponding of a Buy – and just lowered his return per share outlook for Nike’s fiscal fourth quarter to 84 cents from 95 cents to reflect the impact of China’s lockdowns.

As for the Street: Consensus estimates are for Nike to report return of 81 cents per share (-12.9% YoY) and revenue of $12.1 billion (-2.2% YoY).

Walgreens Return on Tap, But Boots Sale in Focus

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA, $41.63) is the second Dow Jones element slated to report return this week. The drugstore chain is set to unveil its fiscal third quarter results ahead of the June 30 open.

Analysts are projecting a rough quarter for WBA due in part to a brake in COVID-19-related sales. Consensus estimates are for EPS of 92 cents (-33.3% YoY) and revenue of $32.0 billion (-5.9% YoY).

But what’s likely to draw the bulk of concentration is any color related to the company’s plans for Boots. Late last year, WBA said it was undergoing a strategic review of the U.K.-based drugstore chain. And earlier this month, a Bloomberg report, citing people habitual with the matter, not compulsory a syndicate of investors – counting Apollo Global Management (APO) – made an offer for Boots.

The bid values Boots at over $6.3 billion, according to Deutsche Bank analyst George Hill (Hold). “The bid offers WBA the option to retain a underground stake in Boots after any deal,” Hill adds. “We do not expect Walgreens to fully harvest the full value of the sale price, and expect the company will keep up a underground spot.”

Walgreens Boots Alliance’s recent sale of 6.0 million AmerisourceBergen (ABC) shares will also bring the company’s cash flow into focus. The proceeds, according to WBA, will be used to pay down debt and support its strategic initiatives.

“As WBA continues unwinding its ABC stake, the company should see a noteworthy influx of cash in the next twelve months, which will provide a lot of capital use flexibility as the company retrenches around its core U.S. affair and leaves its empire construction phase of most of the last decade behind it,” Hill says.

WBA finished its most just reported quarter with $669 million in free cash flow, or the money left over after a company has covered the capital expenditures needed to grow its affair.

Karee Venema was long NKE as of this writing.

Analyst: FedEx Stock Has Upside Potential Ahead of Earnings

FedEx (FDX, $227.14) headlines this week’s light return calendar, with the shipping giant slated to report its fiscal fourth-quarter results after the June 23 close.

FDX made waves last week when it announced a massive bonus hike – boosting its weekly payout by 53% to $1.15 per share. Additionally, the company said it would add three new board members as part of a deal with liberal shareholder D.E. Shaw and unveiled a redesigned executive compensation aimed at boosting overall share routine.

The manufacturing stock jumped more than 14% on that news, but remains 12% lower on a year-to-date basis.

Can FedEx’s imminent return report help shares chip away at this deficit even more?

While macroeconomic uncertainty and execution have remained headwinds, the stock is largely washed out and there is near-term upside the makings, says Wells Fargo analyst Allison Poliniak-Cusic, who has an Hefty (Buy) rating on FedEx stock.

As for FDX’s fiscal fourth quarter, Poliniak-Cusic believes labor and stuck-up network are still drags, but these should be offset by a “consequential” compensation tailwind. As such, the analyst expects FedEx to post a beat this time around.

Analysts, on average, are in the family way FedEx to report return of $6.88 per share, up 37.3% year-over-year (YoY). Revenue is projected to rise 8.4% from the year-ago period to arrive at $24.5 billion.

KB Home to Show Return Growth, Despite Signs of Slowing Housing Market

Homebuilders have been on Wall Street’s radar just amid signs the housing market is finally early to cool.

Case in point: The Buying Sphere last Thursday said housing starts fell 14.4% month-over-month in May to an annual rate of 1.55 million units – the lowest since September 2020. Construction permits also took a notable tumble.

Diligence trends will remain in focus when KB Home (KBH, $25.59) reports its fiscal second-quarter return report after the June 22 close.

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“Homebuilders surveyed [in the Inhabitant Friendship of Homebuilders/Wells Fargo home market index] say appraisal values are getting tough to qualify for larger mortgages,” says CFRA Investigate analyst Kenneth Leon, who just downgraded KBH stock to Hold from Buy on rising appeal rates and an probable decline in homebuying demand. “Demand may taper in the next 12-18 months, and we reckon KBH selling communities have higher risk.”

But Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless remains bullish on KBH ahead of return, with an Go one better than (Buy) rating.

Based on preliminary in commission data KBH unhindered on June 7, McCanless believes the homebuilder was at the high end of closing guidance for the quarter. “We suspect the main vehicle was some closings that slipped to the fiscal second quarter of 2022 from the fiscal first quarter of 2022 because of omicron, but if there was a clear change in the supply-chain issues, that would be clear for KBH and the group,” the analyst writes in a note.

Despite signs of a brake in the housing diligence, analysts are still projecting solid growth in KBH’s fiscal second quarter. Consensus estimates are for return of $2.01 per share (+34% YoY) and revenue of $1.6 billion (+13% YoY).

All Eyes on Darden Restaurant’s Full-Year Guidance

Wall Street pros, on average, expect an 11.3% year-over-year jump in revenue for Darden Restaurants’ (DRI, $113.91) fiscal fourth quarter. And that will push return to $2.21 per share (+8.9% YoY). But it’s the company’s fiscal 2023 guidance that analysts will really be watching when the Olive Garden parent steps into the return confessional ahead of the June 23 open. 

“For fiscal fourth-quarter return, we expect sales & return results should largely meet expectations,” says UBS Global Investigate analyst Dennis Geiger (Buy). “Much focus is on fiscal 2023 guidance which we believe is above all challenging to provide despite likely current momentum, given macro headwinds make uncertainty and are likely to difficulty diligence results over the coming quarters.”

Raymond James analyst Brian Vaccaro agrees that investors will be “keenly aware” of DRI’s fiscal 2023 guidance, which will likely reflect commodity inflation and simpler COVID-related comparisons. 

And while macro headwinds remain, Vaccaro believes “diligence trends could remain surprisingly hard-wearing” amid normalizing post-COVID actions and patrons’ costs of excess savings. The analyst has an Go one better than rating on DRI and says the consumer bendable stock is trading at “an arresting entry point in our view for investors with a less halfhearted macro outlook.”